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This Week's Big Story

Something may have crossed your feed in the last year or two and got filed somewhere between "cool" and "vaguely hopeful." A company called Broad Group built a 26-story residential tower in Hunan Province, China, in five days. On January 7, 2024, workers started setting modules for the Jingdu Holon Building. By January 11, it was standing: 208 furnished apartments, roughly 150,000 total sq. ft., and also with electricity and water ready to connect.

Sounds pretty amazing, right? The obvious question is why can't or don’t we do that here. We're short millions of homes, and the affordability crisis isn't improving. If someone figured out how to build a tower in a week, shouldn't that matter more?

Worth noting before we go further: the five days was the on-site assembly phase only. Broad says each unit left the factory already finished, with wiring, ventilation, windows, interior finishes, even furniture all in place. The viral clips don’t mention the months of factory work which came first to make that rapid final assembly possible.

We've covered housing affordability and related issues plenty. We haven't spent much time on how housing actually gets built, and what it would take to change that. This week, that's the focus.

Grab a snack or beverage, and let’s dig into the real issues with housing construction.

-Brandon S.

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The Bottom Line, in Plain English:

Building faster does not automatically make housing cheaper in America. The bottleneck isn't really the construction site. It's land costs, zoning fights, hurdles with financing, inspection handoffs, union agreements, utility hookups, and the long line of people who get paid before you can legally move in. Factory-built modules can cut on-site time and weather exposure. They only cut your rent or mortgage if volume, policy, and capital markets all move in the same direction at once.

  • 5 days: On-site assembly window for the Jingdu Holon tower (Jan. 7 to 11, 2024), per the Modular Building Institute and China Daily.

  • 26 stories / 208 apartments / ~150,000 sq.ft.²: Scale of the Holon project in Hunan.

  • Millions of homes short: The U.S. housing undersupply has been estimated at 3.7 million units or more; the gap has not meaningfully closed as of 2025 across multiple industry estimates.

  • $20.3 billion: U.S. permanent modular construction market in 2024, about 5.1% of covered construction segments (Modular Building Institute 2025 industry report).

  • $25.4 billion by 2029: MBI forecast for that modular construction market (4.5% compound annual growth).

  • 89 days / 7 to 8 modules per day: citizenM Seattle on-site stacking; Mortenson estimated this ran significantly faster than a conventional schedule for the same project type.

  • ~60%: Construction waste reduction on the citizenM Seattle modular build (Mortenson).

The biggest number to keep in mind: modular construction is growing but still represents only about 5% of the covered market, while the country remains millions of units short with no clear timeline for closing that gap.

The Four Layers

L1: Natural Resources

American high-rise housing runs on reinforced concrete and conventional steel, both assembled outdoors over months. Broad's Holon modules swap that for stainless steel panels produced in a controlled factory environment: faster, more precise, and founded on lessons from the 2008 Sichuan earthquake. Take Broad's boldest longevity claims as marketing, but the durability-plus-speed pitch is credible.

There's a U.S. supply-chain angle here too: a meaningful modular push would compete for the same steel that automakers, data centers, and infrastructure projects already need, all while tariffs continue reshaping domestic mill capacity.

L2: Manufacturing & Construction

Think of modular as the IKEA model for housing, except the furniture was fully assembled at the warehouse before it shipped. Traditional stick-built construction turns the job site into the factory, with sequential subcontractors and weather-dependent quality control. Modular moves most of that work into a climate-controlled plant and leaves the site to handle final assembly only.

Broad claims their factory can produce roughly one module every 21 minutes at peak, though this is a company-reported figure with no independent verification. The U.S. already has a working proof of concept: citizenM Seattle (opened 2020) stacked 264 prefab hotel rooms over 89 days, with Mortenson estimating it ran substantially faster than a conventional build and generated about 60% less construction waste. American regulators and insurers approved it. The model works here. It just hasn't scaled.

On cost: the factory box is only part of what you're paying for. Industry cost guides generally put factory production at roughly 60% of a modular project's total budget. Land, site prep, permits, foundations, utilities, and local inspections make up the rest, and are just as slow, regardless of assembly time.

L3: Retail, Services & Distribution

The household question is simple: does my rent or mortgage go down? Maybe, over time, if several other things also move. Faster builds reduce carrying cost (the interest, insurance, and overhead a developer keeps paying on an unfinished project), and more units coming online sooner eases supply pressure. Those savings are real but modest against a gap measured in millions of homes.

The remaining costs made of land, zoning, utilities, financing don't change simply because the boxes arrived faster. Modular pricing in 2026 typically lands in the same ballpark as stick-built, once site costs are included. The near-term wins are more likely in student housing, disaster rebuilds, backyard ADUs (a second dwelling unit on an existing residential lot), and infill apartments in places where local rules have recently loosened.

L4: Management & Politics

This is where the Hunan demo runs into American reality. Permanent modular housing must meet the same codes as site-built construction under the International Residential Code, which means inspections at the factory and again on site. Some local rules have genuinely loosened in recent years, but modular projects still need separate approvals for crane paths, truck routes, and module dimensions. A signed contract near Akron wouldn’t automatically make it past a city council fight in a denser market.

Labor adds friction too: the trades are organized around site work, and moving hours into a factory disrupts how that work is distributed and paid. Financing has improved, but "prefab" still carries a resale stigma in some markets that keeps lenders and appraisers cautious.

The bottom line: America's housing challenge isn't primarily a technology problem. It's a “veto-stack” problem. Every checkpoint beyond the factory floor can slow or stop the job.

What to Watch Through 2026

  • Modular Building Institute releases: U.S. modular shipments, multifamily modular starts, and state factory-built housing legislation.

  • Local code updates: Cities streamlining factory-built approvals (Anchorage and others have been active on this).

  • U.S. modular completions: Large hotel and apartment projects proving that high-rise modular works under American inspection rules.

  • Broad U.S.A. / Holon: Broad U.S.A. announced its first North American Holon contract in 2023. Watch for an actual Ohio groundbreaking instead of another press-release pipeline.

  • Housing supply metrics: Industry undersupply estimates and rent trends in your metro are the most obvious indicator of success.

  • Time from permit to move-in: The honest clock on new housing supply in cities experimenting with prefab-friendly rules.

    Your Coalscoop-informed edge:

    Learn to separate assembly speed from housing affordability. Next time you see a viral clip of a building going up impossibly fast, ask three questions:

    1. What happened before day one? (Factory time, design approvals, permits.)

    2. What still has to happen after day five? (Land, utilities, inspections, financing, sales.)

    3. Who actually captures any savings: the developer, the lender, the tenant, or nobody in particular?

    Done right and at scale, the American version of this would look pretty unglamorous: standardized designs, factory inspections, predictable financing, and local rules written to let the product actually land.

    If this mental framing (pun intended) is useful, send it to someone who thinks we can solve the housing shortage by reforming zoning alone. That's part of it. Building differently is the other part.


    Where the Opportunity Shows Up

    If housing construction starts behaving more like industrial production, the value accrues to whoever controls repeatable designs, factory throughput, and the regulatory pathway to get modules legally placed on a lot. That's a fundamentally different competitive advantage than the one that dominates today's construction industry, and it's still early enough that the playing field isn't set.

    • For investors: Modular manufacturers, construction-tech software (think design automation and permitting tools), crane and logistics operators, and prefab HVAC or plumbing suppliers built around repeatable housing types. This space is still largely private-market and early-stage which means higher risk, but so is the potential upside if adoption accelerates.

    • For operators and entrepreneurs: The less glamorous plays are often the most durable: regional modular plants in regulation-friendly markets, ADU installation companies in states that have loosened backyard-home rules, and specialists who know how to navigate factory quality control and local inspection requirements in the same project. That last skill is genuinely rare and commands a premium. Whoever figures out how to make permitting and inspection frictionless for modular projects holds a moat that pure construction companies don't.

    • For households: On new construction, ask how much was built off-site and what that means for warranty, timeline, and future resale value. On renting, watch whether supply in your market is actually accelerating or just being announced.

Thanks for reading. If you think others would find value in this perspective, please forward and help our community grow. And if you're someone who received this from a friend and would like to subscribe, visit coalscoop.com.

** Disclaimer **

Coalscoop is published by Firesteel Studios, LLC for informational and educational purposes only. I'm not a licensed financial advisor, investment professional, or attorney, and nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice. By reading Coalscoop, you acknowledge that you're solely responsible for your own decisions and will not hold Coalscoop or Firesteel Studios, LLC liable for any losses or consequences arising from the use of this information.

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